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title A2 - A short data story
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This is an assignment for 02806 - Social data analysis and visualization, written by:

Authors

  • s183624
  • s204201
  • s194666

Introduction

This webpage aims to present the data visualizations and investigations of crimes in San Francisco. The storytelling is based on the data set from data.sfgov.org. The data set contains information about the time and date of the crimes, the location of the crime and the type of crime among other attributes, however these attributes are of major interest for the further investigations. In the process of diving into the data and its hidden patterns, New Years Eve and day has become a point of interest. Reading further on this webpage, you will discover the criminal patterns in the city of San Francisco on New Years eve, and discover, that the night of partying and celebrating new beginnings is also a night full of crimes. To support the findings, calendar plots showing the crime occurrences over the years are illustrated along with an interactive map and finally an interactive visualization of the data set.

Calendar plot

We explore the dataset by looking at the number of crimes filed in the city of San Francisco in a calendar plot. Calendar plot

From the plot, a general tendency appear each year on new years. An increase in crime in San Fransisco, every year consistently. Why is this and what is being done to try to break this pattern of crime? According to ABC News, San Fransisco makes an attractive target on new years for criminals from all over, due to the large gathering of people, looking to enjoy the festivities and fireworks. As many as 150.000 people show up each year, and with crowds of this size comes an increased risk of drunken brawls and opportunities for pick pockets and the like. This claim is supported by a threat assessment obtained by ABC News, that also takes the increased possibility of terrorist attacks into account. San Francisco makes 'attractive target' on New Year's Eve: FBI report

Map

We find that the day with the most reportings of crime was the first of January 2011. When investigating this day, we discover that 176 crimes was filed in the first minute. This minute is visualized by the following map:

<iframe src="/map.html" width = "100%" height="450" frameborder="0"></iframe>

The map shows the crimescenes for the first minute of 2011, here we see that there is no singular "hot spot" for these crimes being comitted. This proves that it is a more general problem on new years and not just a crowd gathered at one spot each year causing trouble.

Interactive visualization

We make an interactive visualization over all new year's eves and days, to inspect what crimes occur.

<iframe src="/crime_by_hour_plot.html" frameborder="0" width = "100%" height = "600"></iframe>

This visualization gives a clear image of the crimes recorded surrounding new years in San Fransisco and shows a very clear tendency for prostituion around midnight. This could be due to the many celebrations, toursist and the like. The interactive visualization also shows a rise in robberies around midnight - with many people gathering to watch the fireworks it is very likely that robbers will use this opportunity to gain access to easy targets otherwise distracted.

Conclusion

This all goes to show this clear tendency for increased crime on new years that is mentioned in the first article by Suzanne Phan. This is an unfortunate trend and one that the SF police department is well aware of. The article San Francisco police out in force for New Year’s by the associated press from 2010, adresses the issue and certain measures taken to try and prevent the amount of crimes being committed. They mention free public transportation all night to try and prevent people from driving under the influence in combination with more police officers, in both uniform and plain clothes, to try to control the crowds. By our findings it is difficult to say if these measures have had any effect, as an increase in police officers might just have resulted in more crimes being reported. Alone putting more police out on the streets, and making them visible, is assumed by the SF police department to make a safer city, but as seen in an experimental study in Britain, incresing the level of foot patrol showed no reductions in crime. Can Police Prevent Crime?. This is supported in the still very high crime numbers each new years, even years after 2010 when the increased policing was introduced. It can, however, ensure that more of the criminals are arrested and that this has led to the increased number of filed crimes.