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Update 2026-27 Pension Credit guarantee rates #1740

@MaxGhenis

Description

@MaxGhenis

PolicyEngine UK currently appears to use forecast-indexed 2026 Pension Credit guarantee rates instead of the published 2026-27 weekly amounts.

Repro with policyengine[uk]==4.11.0 (policyengine-uk@2.88.20):

from policyengine.tax_benefit_models.uk import uk_latest
for name in [
    "gov.dwp.pension_credit.guarantee_credit.minimum_guarantee.SINGLE",
    "gov.dwp.pension_credit.guarantee_credit.minimum_guarantee.COUPLE",
    "gov.dwp.pension_credit.guarantee_credit.carer.addition",
    "gov.dwp.pension_credit.guarantee_credit.severe_disability.addition",
]:
    for value in uk_latest.get_parameter(name).parameter_values:
        if value.start_date.year == 2026:
            print(name, value.value, value.start_date, value.end_date)

Actual 2026 values include:

  • minimum_guarantee.SINGLE: 229.3929826081932
  • minimum_guarantee.COUPLE: 350.12286608501375
  • carer.addition: 47.94659726635978
  • severe_disability.addition: 86.0813766865874

Published 2026-27 weekly rates are:

  • Standard minimum guarantee, single: 238.00
  • Standard minimum guarantee, couple: 363.25
  • Severe disability addition: 86.05 for one qualifying adult, 172.10 where both qualify
  • Carer addition: 48.15

Sources:

This surfaced while comparing Axiom RuleSpec UK against PolicyEngine over local Enhanced FRS. Positive-weight EFRS benunits imply weekly standard minimum guarantee values around 229.39 and 350.12, while the generated RuleSpec from the 2026 instrument returns 238.00 and 363.25.

Expected: update the Pension Credit guarantee parameters for 2026-27, with the correct April 2026 effective-date semantics.

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