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Predicting Police Killings by City

Abstract

Can we identify factors that make certain cities at a higher risk of suffering police shooting catastrophes? Building confidence around the answer to this question could have an impact on public policy, police training, education and beyond.

We use a Quantum SVM algorithm to run a classification model predicting whether or not a city will have "high" police killings or "low" police killings. Due to computation constraints, we trained on a limited number of observations and predictors, but we still obtained a test accuracy of 0.85.

Limitations

Studying events of police shootings ex-post creates the risk of making claims based on spurious relationships. Human behavior can be illogical, so even in a world of perfect data availability, unavoidable catastrophes will occur

Our initial data exploration and analysis uncovered mental-health, socio-economic and racial phenomena that have showed correlations to police shootings. These are important social issues that should be addressed regardless of model findings.

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  • @Sara-ShiHo
  • @TiffanyKe888
  • @isaacNorthwestern
  • @lcgenereux13
  • @matthewko1698

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