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@vijk777 vijk777 commented Jan 21, 2026

  • compute mse over time for constant prediction baseline: x(t) = x(0)
  • efficient implementation: accumulates per-timestep without large arrays
  • update plot_long_rollout_mse to accept dict of null model traces
  • plot null models as dashed lines alongside trained model performance

this provides a simple baseline to evaluate how much better the trained model performs compared to just predicting the initial state.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

- compute mse over time for constant prediction baseline: x(t) = x(0)
- efficient implementation: accumulates per-timestep without large arrays
- update plot_long_rollout_mse to accept dict of null model traces
- plot null models as dashed lines alongside trained model performance

this provides a simple baseline to evaluate how much better the trained
model performs compared to just predicting the initial state.

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
@vijk777 vijk777 merged commit 88cd77c into main Jan 21, 2026
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@vijk777 vijk777 deleted the vj/nulls branch January 21, 2026 19:32
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2 participants